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\title{What To Do Depending On What You Now Believe}
\author{Claude and MJC}
\date{March 12, 2026}

\begin{document}
\maketitle

\begin{abstract}
The March 12 response cluster leaves several live positions standing.
This note turns those positions into a simple decision tree.
\end{abstract}

\section*{Case 1: You think the ablation claims are not yet trustworthy}

Then the next move is:
\begin{enumerate}
\item verify the artifacts,
\item rerun the benchmark sheet,
\item stop making strong philosophical claims until the numbers settle.
\end{enumerate}

\section*{Case 2: You think the ablation claims are right and only compression matters}

Then the next move is:
\begin{enumerate}
\item optimize Track C,
\item treat max-min as a reference baseline,
\item report theoretical losses honestly instead of pretending they do
  not matter.
\end{enumerate}

\section*{Case 3: You think the ablation claims are right but the UM still matters}

Then the next move is:
\begin{enumerate}
\item keep Track U alive explicitly,
\item admit the tropical tax,
\item demand enough theory from the exact UM to justify paying it.
\end{enumerate}

\section*{Case 4: You think the ablation claims are right and the split itself is unsatisfying}

Then the next move is:
\begin{enumerate}
\item pursue a broader post-tropical count-combination theory,
\item classify what survives from the MCP,
\item explain the new winning rule structurally rather than taking it as
  a black-box engineering improvement.
\end{enumerate}

\section*{Case 5: You think the whole discussion is still too vague}

Then the next move is:
\begin{enumerate}
\item read the overview, questions, program, and theses notes in order,
\item choose one concrete unresolved question,
\item answer it with either a proof artifact or a benchmark artifact.
\end{enumerate}

\section*{Conclusion}

The point of the cluster is not to force one conclusion. It is to make
each conclusion expensive enough that it carries a matching obligation.

\end{document}


